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Will BTC close above $100k on April 15?

Price-action market based on a clearly defined crypto threshold and cutoff time. Traders can take a YES or NO position before the market locks, with the final payout based on the published outcome.

Market volume$52991.30386 active traders
Leading sideNO 59%
59¢ implied price
Market windowApr 15, 2026 10:00 PMResolves 11:59 PM
Live probability
41% YES / 59% NO
YES $0.41 | NO $0.59
Market pulseRecent sentiment path
36%12:00 PM
33%2:00 PM
30%4:00 PM
52%6:00 PM
49%8:00 PM
46%10:00 PM

Latest reading: YES at 46% heading into the lock window.

Market briefQuick facts
Traders386
ClosesApr 15, 2026, 11:59 PM
Creator0x00005d07...
Statusactive

This page stays route-safe for every live market and can resolve either from the internal market id or the human-readable market slug.

Resolution rulesHow the final result is decided
Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if BTC close above $100k on April 15. The final determination uses the reference price captured at market close.

Position guideFast read before entering
Best current entry

Priced at $0.59 per share

NO
Maximum loss

Binary market with capped downside

Limited to stake
Yield while open

Accrues while the market remains active

3.9% APY
Recent activityLatest fills and tape
YES

120.5 shares filled at $0.40

$48.20 notionalApr 15, 2026, 9:36 PM
NO

108 shares filled at $0.57

$61.56 notionalApr 15, 2026, 9:12 PM
YES

95.4 shares filled at $0.38

$36.25 notionalApr 15, 2026, 8:48 PM
YES

82.8 shares filled at $0.37

$30.64 notionalApr 15, 2026, 8:24 PM
NO

70.2 shares filled at $0.64

$44.93 notionalApr 15, 2026, 8:00 PM